Shenzhen Peng City vs Yunnan Yukun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
15º
14º
18
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 63 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 62 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 61 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 60 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 54 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 39 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 37 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 28 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 1
SJF
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 1
SJF
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
KAS
4 - 0
SJF
10%
19%
71%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
SJF
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
YUN
1 - 1
HAN
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
YUN
0 - 2
BEI
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
YUN
1 - 2
NAR
54%
22%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NBC
0 - 8
YUN
4%
11%
85%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
YUN
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |