Sibiryak Bratsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SIB
0 - 1
YEN
12%
20%
68%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SIB
0 - 1
FCC
28%
28%
44%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 2
RAD
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
IRT
1 - 1
SIB
61%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
DIN
1 - 0
SIB
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 1
RAD
24%
24%
53%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
SIB
0 - 1
FCC
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 1
SIB
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
IRT
3 - 1
SIB
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 1
SAK
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |