Sibir Novosibirsk vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SIB
1 - 1
KAM
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
SST
3 - 1
SIB
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
URA
3 - 1
SIB
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
SNN
1 - 0
SIB
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 1
SIB
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
YEN
2 - 2
LAD
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
LAD
4 - 0
BAL
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
LAD
1 - 1
SNN
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
ANG
3 - 0
LAD
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
MAS
2 - 1
LAD
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |