FA Cup . 1/32
Global 4-3
Shrewsbury Town vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STF
0 - 0
FLE
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
STF
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
STF
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STF
1 - 0
COV
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
STF
2 - 2
POS
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STO
0 - 2
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
STO
10%
22%
68%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BIR
2 - 0
STO
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STO
1 - 0
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 2
STO
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |