Shortwood United vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shortwood United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
KID
3 - 0
SHO
66%
18%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
SHO
2 - 3
BIS
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
SHO
25%
20%
55%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 4
EVE
18%
21%
62%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 5
WIM
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 2
CIR
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CIR
3 - 2
KID
78%
12%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 2
CIR
23%
22%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
CIR
5 - 4
CIN
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CIR
1 - 1
BRI
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |