Shurtan vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SHO
0 - 1
BUN
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
QIZ
2 - 0
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 0
MAS
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
AND
1 - 2
SHO
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SHO
3 - 1
PAK
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
QIZ
0 - 2
MAS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
QIZ
2 - 0
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
FKL
0 - 1
QIZ
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 2
QIZ
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 2
AND
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |