Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
CON
1 - 5
SHO
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
SHO
0 - 3
VEG
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
YOK
1 - 1
SHO
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
SHO
1 - 0
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2006 |
MIT
3 - 2
SHO
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
TOK
1 - 4
EHI
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
MIT
1 - 2
TOK
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
TOK
1 - 2
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
TOK
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
TOK
4 - 2
TOK
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |