Sholing vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sholing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
SHO
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
4 - 1
BOU
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 4
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 3
SHO
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
SHO
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 2
HAV
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
LOW
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
MET
1 - 2
HAV
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
FOL
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
3 - 1
LEA
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |