Shirak vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
SHI
5 - 1
ULI
77%
14%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LVA
0 - 4
SHI
12%
19%
68%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
ULI
1 - 4
SHI
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
SHI
3 - 1
LER
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
ARA
2 - 0
LER
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
ZAA
6 - 0
LER
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LER
2 - 0
KOT
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LER
1 - 1
GAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2001 |
LER
0 - 3
MIK
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |