Shirak II vs Aragats analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
SHI
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
SHI
0 - 6
YER
11%
20%
69%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
4 - 0
SHI
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2020 |
SHI
3 - 1
LER
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +4 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
PYU
0 - 1
SHI
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aragats
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
4 - 3
JSF
14%
21%
64%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 1
ARA
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
MAS
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
ANI
3 - 2
ARA
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 2
WAR
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |