Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
13º
10º
28
6º
19º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 64 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 61 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 61 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 61 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 60 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 58 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 56 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 56 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 55 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 49 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 47 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 46 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 45 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 45 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 43 |
17º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 43 |
18º
|
11.5% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 41 |
19º
|
20.5% | |
|
20º
|
14 | 39 |
20º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
4.5% | 2.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
2% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
SHI
4 - 2
MAT
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CER
4 - 2
SHI
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SHI
3 - 2
VIS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SHI
1 - 1
VEN
71%
18%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KAA
1 - 0
SHI
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 1
KAA
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KAW
2 - 2
GAM
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
JUB
2 - 1
GAM
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VIS
3 - 2
GAM
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |