Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
15º
13º
34
6º
19º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 64 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 63 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 63 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 62 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 61 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 59 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 57 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 55 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 52 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 51 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 49 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 47 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 46 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 46 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 42 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 42 |
18º
|
19% | |
|
20º
|
20 | 35 |
19º
|
35.5% | |
|
19º
|
20 | 35 |
20º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
SHI
4 - 2
MAT
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CER
4 - 2
SHI
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SHI
3 - 2
VIS
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SHI
1 - 1
VEN
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KAA
1 - 0
SHI
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 1
KAA
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KAW
2 - 2
GAM
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
JUB
2 - 1
GAM
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VIS
3 - 2
GAM
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |