League Cup Japan Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
OIT
0 - 0
SHI
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SHI
3 - 0
JEF
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCT
0 - 0
SHI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
SHI
2 - 0
KAA
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SHI
0 - 1
YFM
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
TOK
2 - 3
GAM
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
GAM
1 - 2
YFM
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
NAG
1 - 1
GAM
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
GAM
0 - 2
CER
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
VIS
4 - 3
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |