Non League Div One Northern East Round 29

Shildon AFC vs Tadcaster Albion analysis

Shildon AFC Tadcaster Albion
24 ELO 16
-8% Tilt -11.3%
7959º General ELO ranking 10016º
319º Country ELO ranking 506º
ELO win probability
72.8%
Shildon AFC
16.7%
Draw
10.5%
Tadcaster Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
Shildon AFC
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
Tadcaster Albion
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shildon AFC
+1%
+11%
Tadcaster Albion

Points and table prediction

Shildon AFC
Their league position
Tadcaster Albion
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
16º
20º
19º
21
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Worksop Town
99
99
100%
Stockton Town
68
68
100%
Hebburn Town
66
66
100%
Long Eaton United
65
65
100%
Stocksbridge Park Steels
63
63
100%
Dunston UTS
60
60
100%
North Shields
53
53
100%
Brighouse Town
51
51
100%
Sheffield FC
50
50
100%
Pontefract Collieries
10º
49
49
10º
0%
Cleethorpes Town
11º
49
49
11º
0%
Grimsby Borough
12º
49
49
12º
0%
Consett AFC
13º
46
46
13º
0%
Bridlington Town
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ossett United
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Grantham Town
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Carlton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Lincoln United FC
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Shildon AFC
19º
40
40
19º
100%
Tadcaster Albion
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Shildon AFC
Tadcaster Albion
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Shildon AFC
Tadcaster Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shildon AFC
Shildon AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
OUF
Ossett United
1 - 1
Shildon AFC
SHI
52%
23%
25%
24 26 2 0
07 Feb. 2023
CON
Consett AFC
1 - 0
Shildon AFC
SHI
70%
17%
13%
24 31 7 0
04 Feb. 2023
SHI
Shildon AFC
0 - 0
Pontefract Collieries
PON
37%
23%
40%
24 26 2 0
01 Feb. 2023
DUN
Dunston UTS
2 - 1
Shildon AFC
SHI
73%
16%
11%
25 33 8 -1
28 Jan. 2023
CAR
Carlton Town
0 - 2
Shildon AFC
SHI
60%
21%
19%
24 28 4 +1

Matches

Tadcaster Albion
Tadcaster Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
LON
Long Eaton United
1 - 0
Tadcaster Albion
TAD
86%
10%
4%
17 36 19 0
04 Feb. 2023
TAD
Tadcaster Albion
0 - 2
Carlton Town
CAR
17%
21%
63%
18 27 9 -1
31 Jan. 2023
TAD
Tadcaster Albion
2 - 1
Sheffield FC
SHE
11%
17%
72%
16 27 11 +2
27 Jan. 2023
OUF
Ossett United
4 - 1
Tadcaster Albion
TAD
72%
17%
11%
17 24 7 -1
07 Jan. 2023
CLE
Cleethorpes Town
2 - 1
Tadcaster Albion
TAD
82%
12%
6%
17 29 12 0