Shifnal Town vs Alvechurch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shifnal Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SHT
4 - 1
BRI
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
CHT
0 - 3
SHT
11%
16%
74%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HIT
5 - 1
ALV
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SUT
0 - 4
ALV
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 3
ALV
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 2
NUN
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 2
NEE
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |