Sheriff vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
2º
2º
24
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 44 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
26 | 43 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 41 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 37 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 27 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 26 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 12 |
7º
|
83% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 6 |
8º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
SHF
1 - 3
UTR
22%
22%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
PET
0 - 0
SHF
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PRI
2 - 1
SHF
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SHF
1 - 0
ZAR
65%
20%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
SHF
4 - 0
PRI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
ZIM
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ZIM
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 6
ZIM
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
0 - 3
ZIM
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PET
2 - 1
ZIM
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |