Sheriff vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SHF
4 - 1
PET
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
FLO
0 - 1
SHF
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SHF
6 - 0
DIN
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 1
SHF
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
SHF
2 - 0
ZIM
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
DIF
4 - 2
FOL
33%
23%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 1
FOL
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TPE
0 - 1
FOL
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
FOL
4 - 2
BBM
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ETZ
0 - 1
FOL
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |