FA Cup Previa 3
Global 4-5
Shepton Mallet vs Tavistock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAV
3 - 3
SHE
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
SHE
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
1 - 1
MEL
41%
22%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
3 - 1
CAD
34%
22%
45%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
SHE
39%
22%
40%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tavistock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAV
3 - 3
SHE
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 1
FRO
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TAV
3 - 0
HEN
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
TAV
0 - 0
PLY
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
TAV
10%
15%
75%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |