Shepshed vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
SHE
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SHE
0 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 0
SHE
8%
17%
75%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SHE
0 - 0
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
GLA
1 - 0
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
QUO
0 - 1
STA
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
QUO
0 - 3
MIC
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GLA
0 - 0
QUO
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
QUO
2 - 1
LOU
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 3
QUO
13%
22%
65%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |