FA Cup . Previa 3

Shepshed vs Leek Town analysis

Shepshed Leek Town
21 ELO 27
3.2% Tilt 17.7%
9894º General ELO ranking 4221º
587º Country ELO ranking 157º
ELO win probability
23.1%
Shepshed
23.2%
Draw
53.7%
Leek Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
Shepshed
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.7%
Win probability
Leek Town
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Shepshed
Leek Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shepshed
Shepshed
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2017
SHE
Shepshed
3 - 0
Kimberley Miners Welfare
KMW
63%
19%
19%
17 13 4 0
05 Aug. 2017
RAI
Rainworth Miners Welfare
0 - 1
Shepshed
SHE
30%
22%
48%
16 14 2 +1
06 Aug. 2016
SHE
Shepshed
0 - 4
AFC Mansfield
MAN
38%
23%
40%
17 20 3 -1
15 Sep. 2015
RUS
Rushall Olympic
4 - 1
Shepshed
SHE
67%
19%
14%
18 43 25 -1
12 Sep. 2015
SHE
Shepshed
0 - 0
Rushall Olympic
RUS
15%
20%
65%
15 43 28 +3

Matches

Leek Town
Leek Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2017
LEE
Leek Town
2 - 1
Market Drayton Town
MAR
59%
21%
20%
30 24 6 0
26 Aug. 2017
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
0 - 3
Leek Town
LEE
38%
24%
39%
28 22 6 +2
19 Aug. 2017
LEE
Leek Town
2 - 0
Cammell Laird
CAM
37%
24%
39%
26 30 4 +2
15 Aug. 2017
LEE
Leek Town
0 - 0
Belper Town FC
BEL
34%
24%
42%
26 33 7 0
12 Aug. 2017
ALV
Alvechurch FC
3 - 1
Leek Town
LEE
37%
23%
41%
28 22 6 -2
X