Shepshed vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GOO
3 - 2
SHE
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SHE
0 - 1
LEE
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 3
RET
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 2
SHE
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 0
RUS
28%
27%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 1
BEL
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 3
GOO
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 2
STO
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |