Shepshed vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
5 - 2
SHE
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 2
QUO
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
SHE
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SHE
0 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 0
SHE
8%
17%
75%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GOO
1 - 0
RUS
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
GOO
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GOO
0 - 5
CHA
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
KID
2 - 1
GOO
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
GOO
2 - 3
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |