Non League Div One Northern Round 6

Shepshed vs Chorley analysis

Shepshed Chorley
33 ELO 37
3.3% Tilt -4.4%
11013º General ELO ranking 4547º
608º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Shepshed
24%
Draw
41.4%
Chorley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
Shepshed
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.4%
Win probability
Chorley
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shepshed
-11%
+16%
Chorley

ELO progression

Shepshed
Chorley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shepshed
Shepshed
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2005
SHE
Shepshed
2 - 1
Kidsgrove Athletic
KID
36%
25%
40%
29 38 9 0
07 Sep. 2005
SHE
Shepshed
0 - 2
Eastwood Town
EAS
39%
25%
37%
31 38 7 -2
03 Sep. 2005
FLE
Fleetwood Town
1 - 0
Shepshed
SHE
80%
14%
6%
31 55 24 0
23 Aug. 2005
BEL
Belper Town FC
0 - 1
Shepshed
SHE
51%
23%
25%
30 31 1 +1
20 Aug. 2005
WOS
Woodley Sports
5 - 1
Shepshed
SHE
60%
21%
19%
31 36 5 -1

Matches

Chorley
Chorley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2005
WAR
Warrington Town
2 - 1
Chorley
CHO
31%
24%
44%
39 31 8 0
23 Aug. 2005
CHO
Chorley
2 - 3
Rossendale United
ROU
67%
19%
14%
40 29 11 -1
20 Aug. 2005
EAS
Eastwood Town
0 - 4
Chorley
CHO
54%
22%
24%
38 41 3 +2
30 Apr. 2005
ILK
Ilkeston Town FC
1 - 0
Chorley
CHO
57%
22%
21%
37 41 4 +1
23 Apr. 2005
CHO
Chorley
2 - 1
Willenhall Town FC
WIL
35%
25%
41%
35 43 8 +2