Shepshed vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SHE
2 - 1
HAL
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
SHE
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
4 - 1
SHE
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SHE
4 - 4
SUT
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BED
2 - 0
SHE
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
SPA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 3
CHA
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 0
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |