Shepshed vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
3 - 2
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 0
STO
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 0
BRI
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
SHE
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
SHE
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 2
CAR
32%
24%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
SHE
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
WIL
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |