Shepshed vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 0
ALS
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
COL
6 - 0
SHE
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 2
SHE
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 1
GOO
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CLI
5 - 0
SHE
56%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
GRA
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
KID
2 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
3 - 4
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALS
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |