Shepherds United vs Erakor Golden Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepherds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 2
AMI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
3 - 3
SEV
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 0
IFI
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 1
SHE
63%
19%
17%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 1
TUP
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Erakor Golden Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ERA
1 - 0
IFI
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ERA
0 - 0
SPI
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ERA
2 - 1
TAF
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 2
ERA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ERA
2 - 1
SEV
53%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |