Shenzhen 2028 vs Changchun Xidu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+948%
+892%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
7º
7º
7º
39
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
39 | 17 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 17 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 14 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 12 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 11 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 8 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 6 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 5 |
8º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 90.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen 2028
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SHE
4 - 1
CHE
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
SHE
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 2
SHE
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 1
WUH
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 0
HSF
31%
22%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Changchun Xidu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CXF
0 - 0
LAN
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NHC
0 - 0
CXF
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
WWF
0 - 0
CXF
66%
21%
14%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
CXF
1 - 1
SHA
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CXF
1 - 1
RZY
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |