Shelbourne vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
3 - 0
GAL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 1
SHE
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
2 - 2
ATH
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LON
2 - 0
SHE
36%
24%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
WEX
1 - 2
SHE
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STP
1 - 3
BOH
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SLR
1 - 2
STP
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
STP
1 - 0
DUN
21%
21%
58%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
STP
3 - 0
WAT
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |