Shaw Lane Aquaforce vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shaw Lane Aquaforce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
COA
3 - 2
SLA
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SLA
5 - 0
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SLA
1 - 0
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
SLA
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
SLA
3 - 1
LEE
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAS
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPA
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |