Chinese Super League Round 21

Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen FC analysis

Shanghai Shenhua Shenzhen FC
74 ELO 50
0.6% Tilt -7.6%
410º General ELO ranking 18441º
Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
78.2%
Shanghai Shenhua
15.4%
Draw
6.4%
Shenzhen FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
Shanghai Shenhua
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.4%
Win probability
Shenzhen FC
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Shanghai Shenhua
Their league position
Shenzhen FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
12
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shanghái Port
63
63
100%
Shandong Taishan
58
58
100%
Zhejiang FC
55
55
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng
53
53
100%
Shanghai Shenhua
52
52
100%
Beijing Guoan
51
51
0%
Wuhan Three Towns
51
51
0%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
48
48
100%
Changchun Yatai
39
39
100%
Henan FC
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Meizhou Hakka
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Qingdao Hainiu
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Nantong Zhiyun
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Dalian Pro
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Shenzhen FC
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenzhen FC
AFC Champions League Elite
100% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Shanghai Shenhua
Shenzhen FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2023
DAL
Dalian Pro
2 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
21%
27%
52%
74 59 15 0
29 Jul. 2023
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
0 - 5
Shanghái Port
SHA
32%
27%
41%
75 81 6 -1
25 Jul. 2023
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
5 - 1
Zhejiang FC
HAN
45%
24%
31%
74 72 2 +1
22 Jul. 2023
CHA
Changchun Yatai
1 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
33%
28%
39%
74 66 8 0
17 Jul. 2023
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
2 - 1
Meizhou Hakka
MEI
64%
22%
15%
74 62 12 0

Matches

Shenzhen FC
Shenzhen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2023
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
64%
21%
15%
50 62 12 0
28 Jul. 2023
HEN
Henan FC
3 - 1
Shenzhen FC
SHE
65%
21%
13%
51 64 13 -1
21 Jul. 2023
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 - 3
Shenzhen FC
SHE
73%
18%
9%
51 66 15 0
16 Jul. 2023
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 4
Shanghái Port
SHA
7%
20%
73%
51 81 30 0
12 Jul. 2023
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
5 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
65%
22%
13%
52 66 14 -1