Sham Shui Po vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
81.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
HON
7%
13%
80%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
NDT
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BIU
9 - 0
SHA
78%
16%
7%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
SDI
11%
20%
69%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
EAS
5%
16%
79%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
HON
7%
13%
80%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
8 - 0
HON
70%
17%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
SDI
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
HON
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
BIU
31%
24%
44%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |