Shakhter Karagandy vs Kairat-Zhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
FKA
2 - 2
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
SHA
4 - 0
EKI
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FCI
3 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 0
FKK
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
0 - 2
SHA
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat-Zhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
KAI
5 - 2
AFK
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
KAI
2 - 2
FKA
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
EKI
2 - 3
KAI
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
KAI
0 - 3
FCI
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
0 - 4
KAI
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |