Shakhter Karagandy vs Atyrau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
13º
10º
34
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 1
SHA
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
KAS
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
FCA
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 3
SHA
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
ZHE
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 1
ZHE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
AST
0 - 0
ATY
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ATY
1 - 1
ORD
24%
27%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 1
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |