Dynamo Dresden vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SGS
1 - 3
SGD
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SGD
2 - 1
SSV
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
WEH
0 - 2
SGD
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 2
HOL
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ERF
2 - 0
SGD
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
STU
1 - 0
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 0
COT
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 2
ROS
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 3
MAI
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 5
UNT
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |