Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 2
SGD
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SGD
2 - 1
WER
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 0
SGD
26%
26%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SGD
3 - 0
MAI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ERF
3 - 2
SGD
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KÖL
4 - 1
WEH
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAG
0 - 0
KÖL
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
KÖL
2 - 3
HOL
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COT
0 - 0
KÖL
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
KÖL
5 - 1
ROS
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |