Dynamo Dresden vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
WEH
0 - 1
SGD
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
SGD
0 - 1
STU
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SGD
3 - 1
SSV
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 2
SGD
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
COT
0 - 3
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 1
MUN
61%
23%
15%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 0
FCN
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
OSN
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |