Comercial vs Goiriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
CAB
33%
23%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 1
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
COM
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
ROU
39%
24%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MUI
2 - 2
COM
49%
23%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Goiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
3 - 0
GOI
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GOI
1 - 0
ROU
33%
25%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MUI
3 - 2
GOI
56%
22%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 1
ALF
37%
26%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
XER
3 - 2
GOI
64%
20%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |