Oberliga Niederrhein Round 7

SF Niederwenigern vs TVD Velbert analysis

SF Niederwenigern TVD Velbert
34 ELO 35
5.3% Tilt 3.8%
6342º General ELO ranking 7304º
320º Country ELO ranking 360º
ELO win probability
47.8%
SF Niederwenigern
21.3%
Draw
30.9%
TVD Velbert

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
SF Niederwenigern
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30.9%
Win probability
TVD Velbert
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SF Niederwenigern
+5%
-26%
TVD Velbert

Points and table prediction

SF Niederwenigern
Their league position
TVD Velbert
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
15º
18º
16º
24
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Velbert
74
74
100%
Schonnebeck
72
72
100%
SC St. Tönis
70
70
100%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
69
69
100%
Homberg
62
62
100%
Hilden
60
60
100%
FC Büderich
53
53
100%
Sonsbeck
45
45
100%
Germania Ratingen
44
44
100%
Meerbusch
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Biemenhorst
11º
42
42
11º
100%
1.FC Monheim
12º
38
38
12º
100%
Kleve
13º
37
37
13º
100%
SF Baumberg
14º
35
35
14º
100%
SC Union Nettetal
15º
30
30
15º
100%
SF Niederwenigern
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Mülheimer FC 97
17º
27
27
17º
100%
TVD Velbert
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SF Niederwenigern
TVD Velbert
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

SF Niederwenigern
TVD Velbert
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SF Niederwenigern
SF Niederwenigern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
VFB
Homberg
2 - 0
SF Niederwenigern
SFN
68%
19%
13%
36 49 13 0
15 Sep. 2024
SFN
SF Niederwenigern
0 - 2
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
23%
23%
55%
38 48 10 -2
11 Sep. 2024
1FC
1.FC Monheim
2 - 2
SF Niederwenigern
SFN
60%
21%
19%
37 45 8 +1
01 Sep. 2024
SFN
SF Niederwenigern
0 - 2
Kleve
KLE
59%
20%
21%
38 35 3 -1
24 Aug. 2024
TEU
SC St. Tönis
3 - 1
SF Niederwenigern
SFN
56%
22%
23%
38 42 4 0

Matches

TVD Velbert
TVD Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
TDV
TVD Velbert
0 - 9
FC Büderich
FCB
39%
22%
39%
37 41 4 0
15 Sep. 2024
MFC
Mülheimer FC 97
3 - 2
TVD Velbert
TDV
42%
21%
37%
38 38 0 -1
11 Sep. 2024
TDV
TVD Velbert
4 - 1
Biemenhorst
SVB
34%
22%
44%
35 40 5 +3
01 Sep. 2024
SCH
Schonnebeck
5 - 0
TVD Velbert
TDV
78%
13%
8%
36 50 14 -1
25 Aug. 2024
VFB
Homberg
3 - 0
TVD Velbert
TDV
63%
20%
17%
36 47 11 0