Sevilla vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
VCF
3 - 1
SEV
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ATH
3 - 1
SEV
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
2 - 0
VCF
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
4 - 0
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BET
0 - 2
SEV
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
FCB
9%
17%
74%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 0
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEV
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
ELC
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |