Sevilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ATM
1 - 2
SEV
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
SEV
2 - 0
VAD
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
OSA
5 - 2
SEV
34%
22%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 1
UDL
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
RJA
0 - 0
ESP
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
CDC
1 - 0
RJA
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 0
CEL
45%
23%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 4
RMA
24%
23%
54%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |