Sever Murmansk vs T. Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
PSK
0 - 1
SEV
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 1
SEV
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
3 - 1
IST
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
2 - 1
NAR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
DVO
2 - 3
SEV
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
T. Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
PFK
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 1
PSK
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 2
DIN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
ROS
3 - 1
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 1
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |