Segunda RFEF round 34

Sestao River vs Izarra analysis

Sestao River Izarra
57 ELO 44
-9.9% Tilt -19.3%
2178º General ELO ranking 6300º
71º Country ELO ranking 266º
ELO win probability
68.4%
Sestao River
21%
Draw
10.6%
Izarra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
Sestao River
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10.6%
Win probability
Izarra
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sestao River
+9%
-53%
Izarra

Points and table prediction

Sestao River
Their league position
Izarra
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
48
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sestao River
72
72
100%
Deportivo Alavés B
60
60
100%
SD Tarazona
57
57
100%
Tudelano
53
53
100%
SD Gernika
51
51
100%
Utebo
50
51
100%
Real Sociedad C
50
50
100%
AD San Juan
49
49
0%
Arenas de Getxo
49
49
0%
Izarra
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Mutilvera
11º
47
47
11º
100%
Brea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Beasain KE
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Cirbonero
14º
38
38
14º
100%
CD Alfaro
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Racing Rioja
17º
32
33
16º
100%
UD Logroñés B
16º
32
32
17º
100%
Arnedo
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sestao River
Izarra
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sestao River
Izarra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sestao River
Sestao River
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2023
TUD
Tudelano
0 - 0
Sestao River
SES
25%
28%
47%
57 47 10 0
30 Apr. 2023
SES
Sestao River
2 - 0
Beasain KE
BEA
70%
20%
9%
57 44 13 0
22 Apr. 2023
SES
Sestao River
3 - 1
Real Sociedad C
RSO
60%
23%
16%
57 47 10 0
15 Apr. 2023
RRI
Racing Rioja
0 - 3
Sestao River
SES
13%
24%
63%
57 38 19 0
08 Apr. 2023
SES
Sestao River
3 - 0
Arnedo
ARN
78%
16%
7%
57 35 22 0

Matches

Izarra
Izarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2023
IZA
Izarra
2 - 1
Real Sociedad C
RSO
29%
27%
44%
43 46 3 0
29 Apr. 2023
RRI
Racing Rioja
0 - 0
Izarra
IZA
29%
27%
44%
44 36 8 -1
23 Apr. 2023
IZA
Izarra
3 - 1
Arnedo
ARN
58%
22%
20%
43 33 10 +1
16 Apr. 2023
CFB
Brea
0 - 1
Izarra
IZA
42%
28%
31%
42 42 0 +1
09 Apr. 2023
IZA
Izarra
0 - 0
Cirbonero
ATL
52%
26%
21%
42 38 4 0