1ª AF Setúbal Round 16

Sesimbra vs Charneca Caparica analysis

Sesimbra Charneca Caparica
14 ELO 12
-4.2% Tilt -7.3%
21353º General ELO ranking 17880º
369º Country ELO ranking 296º
ELO win probability
71.4%
Sesimbra
16.8%
Draw
11.8%
Charneca Caparica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
Sesimbra
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.8%
Win probability
Charneca Caparica
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sesimbra
-10%
-2%
Charneca Caparica

ELO progression

Sesimbra
Charneca Caparica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sesimbra
Sesimbra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
SES
Sesimbra
0 - 4
Amora FC
AMO
11%
17%
72%
16 40 24 0
25 Jan. 2015
ALF
Alfarim GD
1 - 0
Sesimbra
SES
39%
24%
37%
17 14 3 -1
18 Jan. 2015
PAL
Palmelense
0 - 2
Sesimbra
SES
29%
24%
47%
16 13 3 +1
11 Jan. 2015
SES
Sesimbra
2 - 0
Olimpico Montijo
OMO
76%
15%
9%
16 10 6 0
04 Jan. 2015
CIN
Comércio e Indústria
3 - 0
Sesimbra
SES
24%
23%
53%
18 12 6 -2

Matches

Charneca Caparica
Charneca Caparica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
PAL
Palmelense
0 - 1
Charneca Caparica
CHC
55%
22%
24%
10 12 2 0
25 Jan. 2015
CHC
Charneca Caparica
4 - 0
Olimpico Montijo
OMO
42%
23%
35%
9 10 1 +1
18 Jan. 2015
CIN
Comércio e Indústria
2 - 1
Charneca Caparica
CHC
70%
17%
13%
9 14 5 0
11 Jan. 2015
CHC
Charneca Caparica
1 - 2
Alcochetense
ALC
11%
18%
72%
9 22 13 0
04 Jan. 2015
FCB
FC Barreirense
5 - 1
Charneca Caparica
CHC
88%
9%
3%
9 42 33 0