Servette vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
2º
30
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 2
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SIO
3 - 3
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
GCZ
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
YVE
0 - 0
SER
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
WIN
1 - 0
YOB
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 2
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
WIN
0 - 2
ZUR
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
YVE
3 - 0
WIN
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
WIN
2 - 3
LUG
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |