Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 0
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SER
0 - 2
STG
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 1
SER
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
GCZ
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
ZUR
25%
24%
52%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
YOB
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
LAU
4 - 1
LUG
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |