Servette vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
5º
2º
47
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAC
0 - 2
SER
4%
10%
86%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SER
3 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
SBR
3 - 3
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
SBR
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |