Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-8
Servette vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
SER
1 - 2
ZBR
56%
19%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ZBR
5 - 0
SER
50%
20%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1962 |
FEY
3 - 1
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
FEY
1 - 3
SER
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
SER
1 - 3
FEY
39%
23%
38%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
UDL
2 - 3
ATM
23%
27%
51%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATM
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ATM
2 - 1
BET
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATM
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
ATM
3 - 1
VCF
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |