Serverense vs Penya Arrabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 3
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SER
4 - 0
PLA
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SER
1 - 1
SCD
58%
22%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CFP
2 - 2
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PEN
5 - 0
XIL
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 0
PEN
19%
23%
57%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAL
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 1
CLL
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |