Serverense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STA
0 - 3
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
CDS
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
PON
52%
21%
26%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDA
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESP
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |