Sertãozinho vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
3 - 1
SER
16%
21%
62%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 2
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
INT
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 2
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 4
SAO
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
NOV
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
UNI
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |